Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is given better than a 95% chance of winning the Primaries in both Maryland and Virginia (current pricing for Obama to win: Virginia 97.5% Maryland 98.9%). Rasmussen Reports shows Obama with a 26-point lead in Maryland and an 18-point lead in Virginia.
As of a poll taken on 2/8-2/9 by Rasmussen:
- Maryland: Obama leads Clinton 53 percent to 36 percent when you combine strongly decided and leaning voters. It projects Obama winning 38 delegates, Clinton 26 and 6 being too close to call. Margin of error is 1.75 percent.
- Virginia: Obama leads 51 percent to 34 percent among strong and leaning voters. Margin of error is 1.48 percent. The poll projects Obama winning 45 delegates to Clinton's 32 with 6 too close to call.
- District of Columbia: Obama leads 63 percent to 27 percent, with the margin of error 2.82 percent. Obama wins 10 delegates to Clinton's 4, with 1 too close to call.
On the Republican side, McCain is given a better than 90% chance of winning in both Maryland and Virginia (current pricing for McCain to win: Virginia 86.1% Maryland 95.9%). The biggest prize is Virginia, which offers 63 delegates on a winner-take-all basis.
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